Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Wake up to the anger, Dollah!

The election may be over, but the anger is still bubbling.

Everywhere I go, I hear people scolding and scolding the government of Abdullah Badawi, the MCA, the MIC and even the almost dead & buried Gerakan.

At the petrol station, I hear people muttering curses at Dollah over the high petrol prices they have to pay now.

At the makan stalls, you can hear how the people have come to view MCA and Gerakan leaders as a huge embarrassment to the Chinese community.

While waiting for the kids to come through the school gates, the topic of conversation invariably includes a favourite question, "What the h*** is Pak Lah doing?"

The people are worried about bread and butter issues. Not exactly about whether Anwar will or will not allow the police to take a sample of his DNA.

The brouhaha over Anwar is mostly a joke. But they get angry when they start to discuss how the country seems to grind to a halt with so much government focus being given to derail this one ambitious man.

And disgusted when talking about the joker in Terengganu who admitted that Proton cars are really lousy and if you can have Mercedes Benz paid for by taxpayers, why not?

And the perennial favourite, ketuanan this and ketuanan that, what was that for? If so geng, how come nobody wants to employ your university graduates? Ketuanan is just another word for big bully, isn't it?

My ears are burning and the collective anger has dampened my mood.

Buat Kerja, Pak Lah!!

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Updated:
Malaysian Inflation hits 7.7 percent, a 26-year high
Jul 23, 08 5:54pm

Malaysia's annual inflation rate jumped to a 26-year high of 7.7 percent in June due to a substantial rise in fuel prices, according to official data released today.

Nor Mohamed Yakcop, second finance minister, had already said that a 41-percent hike in subsidised fuel prices last month was set to boost inflation in June and July.

The figure came as something of a surprise as economists had predicted June inflation of 6.6 percent.

- AFP

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Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Vision 2020 - slipsliding into 3rd world status

With the recent fuel hike, it looks like CASH is KING when it comes to filling up the tank.

The Petroleum Dealers' Association of Malaysia (PDAM) has directed some 3,500 of its members to stop accepting credit and fleet cards for refueling pending an outcome of their meeting with the government on the issue of fuel commission.

Muggers and snatch thieves will now have more reason to stake out petrol stations. Did anyone consider this?

In The SUN today, it was reported that if you earn less than RM2,000 a month, you are considered a low-income earner.

Minister in the Prime Minister's Department Tan Sri Amirsham A. Aziz said in reply to an oral question from Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim, this definition of low-income would be adjusted from time to time to take the inflation rate into account.

And tellingly, if the poverty line is raised from the current RM800 to RM1,500 per household, it would push to country's poverty rate from 3.7% to 24.3%!

What does this tell us?

So many households are struggling to keep afloat because a major portion of their income goes into servicing their car and housing loans. It is indeed a poor family that has to survive on RM2,000 a month in an urban area, let alone RM1,500 or less!

No wonder there's so much anger. If you can no longer use your credit cards to even pay for petrol, it is just a matter of time before the anger boils over.

This is not just about the have-nots and the barely-haves who are trying to keep afloat. Even those with plenty in their pockets are feeling disgusted as this country is regressing instead of progressing towards being a developed nation by 2020.

Now, it seems like a joke, doesn't it, the Vision 2020?

Should we pray instead that by 2020, we won't actually end up like some of our neighbours whose university graduates had to go overseas to work as maids to put food on the table?

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Thursday, April 19, 2007

Unbridled feel good factor could be our downfall

Today's Capital Talk by iCapital Bhd published in The Star (page B9, Starbiz,) is a good read.

It warns us that if the current "feel good" factor, fueled no less by our stock market rally, leads to complacency in restructuring our society to meet the challenges of remaining competitive, much grief will visit upon us when the bull runs out of steam, as it surely will in due course.

... With the KLCI now rallying, i Capital is deeply worried that our world-class complacency would become universe-class. As it rallies, the politicians and policymakers are patting themselves on the back for a job well done.

Such self-praise and complacency can be very infectious and soon Malaysians from all walks would fall into the same mental trap.

A few rounds of such crises, and Malaysia would sink into an economic quicksand. Then, the next crisis will hit us when we are totally unprepared.

I think one should read the article in full in order to appreciate the arguments put forth by the writer. As such, I am re-producing it below for those who are interested to read it further.

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Market rally no excuse to be complacent

Since the lows set in June 2006, the KL Composite Index (KLCI) has risen rather impressively and the volume traded has not been that bad either.

It looks like the KLCI will be beating Bangkok for once, although we have lost to the Singapore or Jakarta markets.

But should we exploit the current market rally or should we be more circumspect?

Stock market rallies can be very ego boosting. A rally seems to tell the whole world that everything is fine with the economy and that the Government has adopted the right policies.

Generally speaking, this is true but the stock market rallies for all kinds of reasons and sometimes, it can be self-deluding.

Or worse, the rally creates complacency among the politicians and policymakers so much so that painful but necessary decisions are not made or postponed until it is too late. Then, the market crashes.

The Asian crisis in 1997/98 is a classic example of how stock market rallies can camouflage structural problems until the day of reckoning.

The way to manage a country or company is, in a sense, very simple. When things are fine, do not become over-confident; instead get ready for the storm ahead. So when the storm comes, which it eventually will, one will not be so devastated that one cannot even recover or that the recovery takes a long time.

Vice-versa, when the storm does come, do not panic and rush into making all kinds of silly short-term decisions that would harm the country or company. It will eventually pass and the whole cycle repeats itself. Take advantage of the storms and use them to ensure that the eventual bright sunny days are not so blinding.

i Capital has frequently criticised the Malaysian government for the measures it took in response to the 1997/98 Asian crisis.

The essence of its criticisms was that the Government’s very short-term measures greatly reduced or attempted to reduce the pain of the crisis, but in so doing, it ignored the adverse long-term implications of its actions and decisions.

In many respects, Malaysia has paid a heavy price for this and is still paying the price for ignoring long-term problems.

By shielding Malaysians from the harsh and painful realities of the market economy, we now have a Malaysian workforce that is hopelessly complacent and in the process, losing out to the many fast rising regional competitors.

With the KLCI now rallying, i Capital is deeply worried that our world-class complacency would become universe-class. As it rallies, the politicians and policymakers are patting themselves on the back for a job well done.

Such self-praise and complacency can be very infectious and soon Malaysians from all walks would fall into the same mental trap. Then, the next crisis will hit us when we are totally unprepared.

A few rounds of such crises, and Malaysia would sink into an economic quicksand.

The simple but wholesome message of this week’s analysis is directed at the politicians and policymakers and Malaysians from all walks of life.

Do not be seduced by the current market rally into thinking that we are on our way to developed status.

Do not postpone the major structural reforms needed. Malaysia has already lost so much time.

The unemployment rate in Hong Kong shot up when the Asian crisis struck.

In contrast, the unemployment situation in Malaysia, thanks to the drug addiction-like economic policies that had been implemented back then, was never as severe as Hong Kong’s or the other Asian countries’.

Except for a few debt-ridden and badly managed Malaysian companies, Malaysians generally never suffered any pain during the Asian crisis.

In 2002, we were pleasantly shocked at the totally changed attitude of the Hong Kong people. The infamously rude Hong Kong taxi drivers or the world-renowned rude waiters were offering their services at Ritz-Carlton-class quality.

The Hong Kong economy had been severely affected and its people shell-shocked at the severity of the crisis. Imagine buying Hong Kong properties and losing their pants.

At that time, we thought that the change in attitude would be short-lived. But lo and behold, four or five years later, the same polite and courteous service is maintained, although the economy has recovered and is performing better than Malaysia’s.

The pain and shock of the Asian crisis have left a deep scar among the Hong Kong people.

In contrast, the Malaysian taxi drivers, a representation of the typical Malaysian, are still offering the same lousy service at inflated prices.

Thanks to our brilliantly thought out economic policies, Malaysians do not have to deal with the harsh realities, yet they want to enjoy the fruit of hard work (especially if it is somebody else’s).

Malaysians have no ugly scars to remind them that when things are fine, is the time to take painful but necessary reforms. While others have had to “eat bitter fruit”, Malaysians had only been exposed to the sweet ones.

Adversities like the Asian crisis have a major role in shaping positive attitudes and mindsets.

Malaysian politicians and policymakers must allow such character forming events to play their roles.

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(Note: This blogger is NOT associated to i Capital Bhd nor have any dealings, whether personal or professional, with any of its employees.)




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